10 Aug · 08:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MV
🇺🇦Milan Vydra
ELO 1400
FormWWWLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Vydra
AS
🇺🇦Antonin Skyba
ELO 1342
FormWWWWL
56%
44%
🌟Skyba stays under total as underdog 70% (37)
Fair odds · Vydra
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 72% · 1.39· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~73 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+58
H2H4-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+58)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-0)