10 Aug · 08:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OO
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ovsiienko
ELO 1464
FormWLLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Ovsiienko
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Semenets
ELO 1394
FormLWLWW
57%
43%
🌟Ovsiienko stays under total as favourite 62% (116)
Fair odds · Ovsiienko
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 75% · 1.34· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+70
H2H19-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+70)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (19-7)