10 Aug · 08:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
YU
🇺🇦Yurii Urezchenko
ELO 1267
FormLLLLW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Matviichuk
VM
🇺🇦Vasyl Matviichuk
ELO 1411
FormLWWWL
35%
65%
Fair odds · Matviichuk
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~74 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
18%
3-2
13%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+144
H2H37-24
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+144)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (37-24)