10 Aug · 09:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AK
🇺🇦Andrii Kurtenko
ELO 1550
FormWWWLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Kurtenko
EP
🇺🇦Eduard Populovskyi
ELO 1493
FormLLLWW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Kurtenko
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+57
H2H6-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+57)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)