10 Aug · 07:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
LH
🇺🇦Lukas Heinzl
ELO 1631
FormWWWWL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Heinzl
MU
🇺🇦Miloslav Ullman
ELO 1453
FormLLWLW
68%
32%
🔥 Underdog lean · Ullman
Fair odds · Heinzl
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~73 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
19%
2-3
12%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+178
H2H9-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+178)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-8)