10 Aug · 08:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DK
🇺🇦Dmitro Kuzmenko
ELO 1483
FormLWLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kuzmenko
OZ
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ziakun
ELO 1470
FormLWLLL
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Ziakun🌟Ziakun covers set handicap as underdog 66% (122)
Fair odds · Kuzmenko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+13
H2H46-33
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.