10 Aug · 09:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Miroshnychenko
ELO 1404
FormLLLLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Kuzmenko
DK
🇺🇦Dmitro Kuzmenko
ELO 1483
FormLWLWL
42%
58%
🌟Kuzmenko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (64)
Fair odds · Kuzmenko
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~74 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+79
H2H60-37
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+79)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (60-37)