10 Aug · 08:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LR
🇺🇦Lukas Rulc
ELO 1535
FormLWLLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Rulc
MU
🇺🇦Miloslav Ullman
ELO 1453
FormLLWLW
59%
41%
🔥 Underdog lean · Ullman🌟Rulc rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (95)
Fair odds · Rulc
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+82
H2H24-19
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+82)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (24-19)