10 Aug · 09:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
OA
🇺🇦Oleksandr Alieksieev
ELO 1680
FormWWWLW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Alieksieev
YK
🇺🇦Yurii Kolos
ELO 1534
FormLWLWL
65%
35%
🌟Kolos stays under total as underdog 71% (14)
Fair odds · Alieksieev
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~73 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
18%
2-3
13%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+146
H2H1-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+146)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)