10 Aug · 08:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AT
🇺🇦Andrey Troyan
ELO 1584
FormWLWLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Troyan
VB
🇺🇦Volodymyr Bilobrov
ELO 1501
FormWLWLW
59%
41%
🌟Bilobrov stays under total as underdog 65% (26)
Fair odds · Troyan
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~74 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+83
H2H4-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+83)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-3)