10 Aug · 09:50 MESZLow · Coin Flip
KK
🇺🇦Kostiantyn Klymenko
ELO 1479
FormWLWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Klymenko
VM
🇺🇦Volodymyr Melnykov
ELO 1465
FormLLLLL
51%
49%
🌟Melnykov stays under total as underdog 65% (93)
Fair odds · Klymenko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 34% · 2.96· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+14
H2H3-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.