10 Aug · 06:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OO
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ovsiienko
ELO 1464
FormWLLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Ovsiienko
VK
🇺🇦Vasily Kondratenko
ELO 1414
FormLLWLL
55%
45%
🌟Ovsiienko stays under total as favourite 62% (116)
Fair odds · Ovsiienko
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+50
H2H15-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+50)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-7)