10 Aug · 08:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OM
🇺🇦Oleksandr Mytsyk
ELO 1470
FormWWLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Mytsyk
VK
🇺🇦Vasily Kondratenko
ELO 1414
FormLLWLL
56%
44%
🌟Mytsyk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (143)
Fair odds · Mytsyk
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+56
H2H24-23
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+56)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (24-23)