10 Aug · 07:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AT
🇺🇦Andrey Troyan
ELO 1584
FormWLWLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Volkov
YV
🇺🇦Yurii Volkov
ELO 1659
FormLWWLL
42%
58%
Fair odds · Volkov
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~74 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+75
H2H84-53
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+75)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (84-53)