11 Aug · 12:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
IF
🇺🇦Illia Fokin
ELO 1463
FormLWWWW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Fokin
YS
🇺🇦Yuriy Shcherbak
ELO 1363
FormLWLLL
61%
39%
🌟Shcherbak rarely covers set handicap as underdog 37% (52)
Fair odds · Fokin
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~75 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
21%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+100
H2H13-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+100)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-4)