11 Aug · 09:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AN
🇺🇦Anatolii Nikolenko
ELO 1407
FormWLWLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Ivanytskyi
VI
🇺🇦Viktor Ivanytskyi
ELO 1483
FormWWWWW
42%
58%
Fair odds · Ivanytskyi
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+76
H2H13-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+76)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-5)