11 Aug · 10:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
IF
🇺🇦Illia Fokin
ELO 1463
FormLWWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Fokin
AN
🇺🇦Anatolii Nikolenko
ELO 1407
FormWLWLL
56%
44%
🌟Fokin rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (50)
Fair odds · Fokin
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+56
H2H14-23
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+56)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)