11 Aug · 07:45 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RP
🇺🇦Radovan Pisa
ELO 1574
FormWLWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Pisa
LA
🇺🇦Lukas Adam
ELO 1571
FormWWLLW
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Adam🌟Adam covers set handicap as underdog 68% (72)
Fair odds · Pisa
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 38% · 2.67· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+3
H2H11-24
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.