11 Aug · 07:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OK
🇺🇦Oleh Kurylenko
ELO 1534
FormWWWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Kurylenko
DK
🇺🇦Dmitro Kuzmenko
ELO 1486
FormWLLLW
55%
45%
Fair odds · Kurylenko
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+48
H2H77-44
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+48)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (77-44)