11 Aug · 07:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AT
🇺🇦Andrey Troyan
ELO 1599
FormWWWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Volkov
YV
🇺🇦Yurii Volkov
ELO 1652
FormWWLLW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Volkov
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+53
H2H85-53
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+53)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (85-53)