11 Aug · 09:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JP
🇺🇦Jaroslav Puk
ELO 1410
FormLWLLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Plyska
OP
🇺🇦Oleh Plyska
ELO 1483
FormWWLWL
42%
58%
🔥 Underdog lean · Puk🌟Plyska rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (87)
Fair odds · Plyska
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~79 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+73
H2H25-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+73)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (25-13)