11 Aug · 08:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
YZ
🇺🇦Yurii Zvolynskyi
ELO 1508
FormWLWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Zvolynskyi
IS
🇺🇦Ihor Sorochan
ELO 1501
FormLLWLL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Zvolynskyi
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+7
H2H27-17
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.