11 Aug · 08:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
OK
🇺🇦Oleh Karpenko
ELO 1502
FormLLLWL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Volkov
YV
🇺🇦Yurii Volkov
ELO 1652
FormWWLLW
35%
65%
🌟Karpenko covers set handicap as underdog 67% (83)
Fair odds · Volkov
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~74 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
18%
3-2
13%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+150
H2H36-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+150)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (36-14)