11 Aug · 07:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MZ
🇺🇦Matus Zelinka
ELO 1614
FormLWLWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Zelinka
LR
🇺🇦Lukas Rulc
ELO 1552
FormWLWWL
57%
43%
🔥 Underdog lean · Rulc🌟Zelinka rarely covers set handicap as favourite 28% (47)
Fair odds · Zelinka
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+62
H2H3-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+62)