11 Aug · 07:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PS
🇺🇦Pavlo Shulhachyk
ELO 1492
FormWLLLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Simchuk
VS
🇺🇦Viacheslav Simchuk
ELO 1572
FormWWLLW
42%
58%
Fair odds · Simchuk
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~74 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+80
H2H2-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+80)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)