11 Aug · 06:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
IF
🇺🇦Illia Fokin
ELO 1463
FormLWWWW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Fokin
PM
🇺🇦Pavlo Melnichuk
ELO 1358
FormLLLLW
61%
39%
🌟Fokin rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (50)
Fair odds · Fokin
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 78% · 1.28· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~74 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
21%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+105
H2H5-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+105)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-0)