11 Aug · 07:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
IF
🇺🇦Illia Fokin
ELO 1463
FormLWWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Ivanytskyi
VI
🇺🇦Viktor Ivanytskyi
ELO 1483
FormWWWWW
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Fokin🌟Fokin covers set handicap as underdog 67% (21)
Fair odds · Ivanytskyi
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+20
H2H8-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.