11 Aug · 06:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OZ
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ziakun
ELO 1486
FormLWWWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Ziakun
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Miroshnychenko
ELO 1399
FormLLWLW
59%
41%
🌟Ziakun goes over total as favourite 69% (45)
Fair odds · Ziakun
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
19%
3-0
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+87
H2H53-20
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+87)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (53-20)