11 Aug · 11:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AT
🇺🇦Andrey Troyan
ELO 1599
FormWWWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Troyan
AM
🇺🇦Andrii Martyniuk
ELO 1578
FormWLWWW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Troyan
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~72 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+21
H2H4-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.