11 Aug · 11:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MV
🇺🇦Martin Vorel
ELO 1533
FormLLLWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Vorel
AD
🇺🇦Adam Dvoracek
ELO 1461
FormLWLLW
58%
42%
🔥 Underdog lean · Dvoracek🌟Dvoracek covers set handicap as underdog 69% (71)
Fair odds · Vorel
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~73 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+72
H2H9-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+72)