11 Aug · 11:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
YS
🇺🇦Yuriy Shcherbak
ELO 1363
FormLWLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Chyzh
PC
🇺🇦Pavlo Chyzh
ELO 1375
FormWLLWL
49%
51%
🌟Chyzh rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (32)
Fair odds · Chyzh
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+12
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.