11 Aug · 08:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PC
🇺🇦Pavlo Chyzh
ELO 1375
FormWLLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Chyzh
PM
🇺🇦Pavlo Melnichuk
ELO 1358
FormLLLLW
52%
48%
🌟Chyzh rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (32)
Fair odds · Chyzh
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 72% · 1.39· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+17
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.