12 Aug · 12:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Syksa
ELO 1557
FormWWLWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Syksa
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Maliuk
ELO 1555
FormWLWWL
50%
50%
🌟Maliuk covers set handicap as underdog 63% (93)
Fair odds · Syksa
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H35-20
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.