12 Aug · 06:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MH
🇺🇦Maksym Hubenko
ELO 1608
FormWWWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Hubenko
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Maliuk
ELO 1555
FormWLWWL
56%
44%
🌟Maliuk covers set handicap as underdog 63% (93)
Fair odds · Hubenko
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+53
H2H19-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+53)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (19-11)