12 Aug · 08:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MH
🇺🇦Maksym Hubenko
ELO 1608
FormWWWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Hubenko
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Syksa
ELO 1557
FormWWLWL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Hubenko
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+51
H2H84-36
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+51)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (84-36)