12 Aug · 09:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SP
🇺🇦Serhii Prus
ELO 1455
FormWWWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Prus
OM
🇺🇦Orest Melnik
ELO 1420
FormLLLWL
54%
46%
🌟Prus stays under total as favourite 62% (40)
Fair odds · Prus
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+35
H2H6-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.