12 Aug · 08:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VK
🇺🇦Vsevolod Kheresko
ELO 1477
FormLLWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kheresko
RM
🇺🇦Roman Mazur
ELO 1446
FormWWLLL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Kheresko
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+31
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.