12 Aug · 12:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MH
🇺🇦Maksym Hubenko
ELO 1608
FormWWWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Hubenko
DP
🇺🇦Dmytro Prylepa
ELO 1530
FormLWWWW
58%
42%
Fair odds · Hubenko
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~74 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+78
H2H54-27
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+78)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (54-27)