12 Aug · 10:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AV
🇺🇦Andrii Vasylets
ELO 1550
FormWLWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Syksa
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Syksa
ELO 1557
FormWWLWL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Syksa
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+7
H2H2-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.