12 Aug · 07:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
SP
🇺🇦Serhii Prus
ELO 1455
FormWWWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Prus
MD
🇺🇦Mykhailo Dunas
ELO 1455
FormLLLLL
50%
50%
🌟Prus stays under total as favourite 62% (40)
Fair odds · Prus
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+0
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.