12 Aug · 07:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YP
🇺🇦Yurii Parahailo
ELO 1590
FormLLWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Parahailo
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Storozhenko
ELO 1546
FormWWLWL
55%
45%
🌟Parahailo stays under total as favourite 64% (105)
Fair odds · Parahailo
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+44
H2H7-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+44)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-4)