12 Aug · 08:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OM
🇺🇦Orest Melnik
ELO 1420
FormLLLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kozoriz
DK
🇺🇦Denys Kozoriz
ELO 1443
FormWWWLW
48%
52%
🌟Kozoriz stays under total as favourite 73% (55)
Fair odds · Kozoriz
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+23
H2H9-18
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.