12 Aug · 11:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MH
🇺🇦Maksym Hubenko
ELO 1608
FormWWWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Hubenko
AV
🇺🇦Andrii Vasylets
ELO 1550
FormWLWWL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Hubenko
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 64% · 1.57· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+58
H2H21-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+58)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (21-12)