12 Aug · 08:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Miroshnychenko
ELO 1384
FormWLLLL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Maliuk
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Maliuk
ELO 1555
FormWLWWL
33%
67%
Fair odds · Maliuk
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~74 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
19%
3-2
12%
3-1
12%
Elo Gap+171
H2H38-26
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+171)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (38-26)