12 Aug · 09:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
YS
🇺🇦Yurii Shmyndra
ELO 1455
FormLWLLL
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Yurkov
AY
🇺🇦Artem Yurkov
ELO 1681
FormLWWWW
28%
72%
🌟Yurkov rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (160)
Fair odds · Yurkov
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~72 pts
0-3
30%
1-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-2
11%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+226
H2H6-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+226)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-4)