12 Aug · 07:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
VK
🇺🇦Valentyn Kurliuk
ELO 1456
FormLLLLL
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Pohorilyi
MP
🇺🇦Mykola Pohorilyi
ELO 1607
FormWLWLL
34%
66%
🌟Kurliuk stays under total as underdog 64% (28)
Fair odds · Pohorilyi
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~74 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
18%
3-2
13%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+151
H2H13-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+151)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-8)