12 Aug · 07:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
YT
🇺🇦Yaroslav Tebenko
ELO 1527
FormLLWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Fashchevskyi
IF
🇺🇦Ivan Fashchevskyi
ELO 1560
FormWWLLW
47%
53%
🔥 Underdog lean · Tebenko🌟Fashchevskyi rarely covers set handicap as favourite 22% (68)
Fair odds · Fashchevskyi
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+33
H2H6-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.