12 Aug · 08:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PC
🇺🇦Pavel Cizek
ELO 1450
FormWLWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Cizek
FF
🇺🇦Filip Fryml
ELO 1437
FormWLLWL
51%
49%
🌟Fryml covers set handicap as underdog 67% (15)
Fair odds · Cizek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+13
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.