12 Aug · 08:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Seliuchenko
ELO 1670
FormWWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Seliuchenko
AL
🇺🇦Anatolii Lievshin
ELO 1653
FormWWWWL
52%
48%
🌟Lievshin covers set handicap as underdog 69% (74)
Fair odds · Seliuchenko
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+17
H2H4-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.