12 Aug · 08:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
VM
🇺🇦Vladyslav Mishchenko
ELO 1532
FormWWLWW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Yurkov
AY
🇺🇦Artem Yurkov
ELO 1681
FormLWWWW
35%
65%
🌟Yurkov rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (160)
Fair odds · Yurkov
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~77 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
18%
3-2
13%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+149
H2H49-31
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+149)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (49-31)